Why the Analytics Love Baker Mayfield

Say it was your job to select a rookie quarterback for your NFL team, but you were forbidden from watching any of the prospects ever throw a single football.authentic nfl jerseys

Given such a ridiculous restriction, you would probably cross your fingers and scan the stat sheets for a quarterback who:

• Started a lot of college games…

• For a major program…

• Which faced a lot of great defenses…

• And who put up impressive totals and rate stats…5d4e13a5e76dd838a87596a2528373f8_crop_exact

• But wasn’t obviously a product of a system full of great supporting talent.

Now, imagine taking all of those common-sense criteria, defining and quantifying wholesale nfl jerseys them precisely, and creating a metric to guide your scouting department when selecting a quarterback.

That method would look a lot like the Football Outsiders’ QBASE system. And like QBASE, that method would love Baker Mayfield.

You probably know Mayfield started for three seasons for Oklahoma (and a fourth for Texas Tech) and threw for precisely 54 zillion yards and infinite touchdowns (14,607 and 131, actually). Mayfield’s rate stats, including his 68.5 nfl jerseys wholesale percent completion rate and 9.8 yards per pass attempt, are exceptional, even by wide-open Big 12 standards.

Mayfield has has been helped along the way by some great playmakers and offensive linemen, but as Aaron Schatz wrote in this year’s QBASE report, his schedule wasn’t as Big 12 playground-tastic as you might think. Mayfield had a big game against Ohio State and held his own in the CFP semifinals against Georgia, after all. Shake the numbers out to nfl jerseys china remove some distortions, and Mayfield still laps this year’s field.

Moneyball is all about providing context and meaning for statistics. Sometimes, that just means confirming what’s obvious. Mayfield is the most productive, experienced quarterback in this draft class. It shows in the numbers. And it shows on the game film, too.